Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.120710 0.181882 0.253180 0.339909 0.440402 0.551373 0.681515
2025-12-07 0.041432 0.107409 0.202429 0.334355 0.502054 0.700065 0.944611
2025-12-14 0.010936 0.064933 0.164161 0.318360 0.527793 0.785849 1.114353
2025-12-21 0.003045 0.051693 0.161956 0.346437 0.606777 0.934981 1.359306
2025-12-28 0.000275 0.042347 0.161765 0.374466 0.683676 1.080149 1.598483
2026-01-04 NaN 0.031718 0.154566 0.389265 0.741062 1.199766 1.805953
2026-01-11 NaN 0.028945 0.162486 0.427378 0.830582 1.360621 2.064695
2026-01-18 NaN 0.024507 0.164603 0.455161 0.905172 1.502102 2.299502
2026-01-25 NaN 0.016540 0.153440 0.458632 0.943895 1.596188 2.474672
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006394 0.125033 0.427284 0.929120 1.617942 2.557320
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000778 0.095216 0.386670 0.896562 1.613292 2.604342
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.081160 0.373816 0.904511 1.662095 2.718833
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.076877 0.382687 0.949118 1.764880 2.908371
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.067429 0.378171 0.972018 1.838105 3.060561
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.054178 0.360716 0.971852 1.877828 3.167876
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.058966 0.390792 1.051619 2.030855 3.424914
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.063637 0.420624 1.131105 2.183666 3.681922
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.063201 0.436370 1.186764 2.302764 3.894591
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.071632 0.476828 1.284619 2.482102 4.187221
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.076073 0.506261 1.363824 2.635060 4.445176
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.071310 0.509935 1.399183 2.725696 4.620826
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.054839 0.476729 1.369921 2.723258 4.672537
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.037709 0.433610 1.320212 2.689479 4.681054